Sense of Fatalism Encourages Risky Behavior in Teens

A surprising number of teens expect to die young. In a seven-year study of 20,000 teens in grades 7 through 12, 15% felt it was highly likely that they would die before they reached their 35th birthday. Published in the July issue of Pediatrics, the unexpected results have caused researchers at the University of Minnesota to wonder if it is a feeling of hopeless fatalism rather than a sense of invulnerability that leads teens to engage in risky behavior.

The magnitude of teen-aged pessimism took researchers by surprise. University of Minnesota researcher Dr. Iris Borowsky told the Associated Press, Adolescence is “a time of great opportunity and for such a large minority of youth to feel like they don’t have a long life ahead of them was surprising.”

Males (15%) were slightly more likely than females (13%) to think they would die young. Living in a more stable family situation appeared to decrease the feeling of risk. Only 10% of teens who lived with both biological parents felt at risk, while 18% of those who lived with only one or neither of their biological parents felt they would die early. Lack of financial stability significantly increased the feeling of risk. Twenty-four percent of teens with a parent receiving public aid believed they would die at an early age. Racially and ethnically, the breakdown of perceived risk of early death was highest for groups exposed to the greatest deprivation and violence:

• 30% Native American
• 26% Black
• 21% Hispanic
• 15% Asian/Pacific Islander
• 10% White

While fatalistic teens did not die more often than their more optimistic peers (only 94 of the 20,000 teens participating died during the seven-year study), they were more likely to engage in unsafe behavior, including drug and alcohol abuse, unprotected sex, attempted suicide, and getting into fights that resulted in serious injury. Teens who believed they would die young were seven times more likely to contract AIDS than their positive-thinking peers. The perception that life was hopeless appears to have encouraged greater risk taking.

Psychiatrists are looking at the study in hopes of developing better methods for identifying at risk teens. It is hoped that the detection of fatalistic attitudes and thinking will help the medical community identify and treat at risk teens before they engage in dangerous behavior.